TENGIZ OIL FIELD, Kazakhstan - As this Central Asian
oil-producing nation prepares for critical parliamentary elections
Sunday, both the government and opposition are trying to play the
oil card to their own advantage.SAVE MONEY ON TRAVEL DEALS
The giant Tengiz Oil Field under Kazakhstan's renowned
inhospitable steppes pumped $1.6 billion into the economy last year,
but it also is at the center of a U.S. bribery probe keeping this
former Soviet republic's longtime leader - President Nursultan
Nazarbayev - on edge.
Nazarbayev's Otan party has claimed success for the
country's economic boom, with nearly 10 percent annual growth in
recent years. The party credits market reforms - although it mostly
results from large foreign investment to exploit the country's
estimated 100 billion barrels of oil.
However, the opposition says more of the country's 15
million people could be benefiting from the oil riches.
"All goes to a narrow circle of government officials
and oligarchs", said Bolat Abilov, co-chairman of the largest
opposition party, Ak Zhol.
When Kazakhs vote Sunday, Nazarbayev's party faces strong
opposition. However, his main challenger will be a party run by his
own daughter.
Some believe the apparent rivalry between Nazarbayev's Otan
party and his daughter Dariga Nazarbayeva's Asar party is real,
while others believe it is a ploy to steal votes from the opposition
and legitimize her eventual assumption of power.
She denies any family succession plans, and the 64-year-old
president has said he would seek another seven-year term in 2006.
The president needs a loyal parliament for that race.
More than 550 candidates are contesting 67 seats in the
lower house of Parliament, now controlled by the president's
loyalists. Another 10 seats will be divided among eight parties and
two election blocs that win at least 7 percent of votes.
Pre-election polls show President Nazarbayev's Otan party
leading, with his daughter's party in second.
The elder Nazarbayev - who in recent years has been
criticized for turning authoritarian - badly needs a free and fair
vote. Election irregularities could jeopardize Kazakhstan's bid to
chair the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe in
2009 and lead to confrontation with the opposition, which already
accuses authorities of manipulating the election.
Several opposition parties threaten not to recognize the new
Parliament if their observers record breaches during voting and
tallying.
Polls across this country four times the size of Texas open
Sunday at 7 a.m. local time and close at 8 p.m. There are 8.9
million eligible voters. Preliminary results are expected later
Sunday night.
More than 1,000 international observers will monitor the
elections. Opposition parties and nongovernment organizations also
are mobilizing hundreds of their own observers.
The OSCE has said local election commissions lack political
balance.
The opposition and independent observers also raised
concerns about the government's plan to introduce electronic voting,
saying it was being put into practice too hastily and could allow
vote-rigging.
On Saturday, authorities said they would test the system in
10 percent of electoral districts.
The issue of wealth distribution is a central one in the
election. A U.N. report in May said nearly one-fourth of the
population - or more than 3.7 million people - lived in absolute
poverty in 2002 with incomes below the subsistence minimum.
The report urged the Kazakh government to use oil export
revenues "more prudently."
The Ak Zhol party said if it wins, it would transfer
three-quarters of tax revenues from mineral resources extraction
into Kazakh citizens' bank accounts.
Other opposition parties, Democratic Choice and the
Communists, are campaigning together under the slogan: "Let's
return the country's wealth to the people!"
President Nazarbayev also has been dogged by corruption
allegations stemming from a U.S. bribery investigation involving his
former adviser on oil contracts.
New York banker James H. Giffen was indicted last year on
charges of making more than $78 million in unlawful payments to two
senior Kazakh officials in the 1990s for U.S. oil companies,
including Mobil, which was buying a share in the Tengiz project.
Nazarbayev called the alleged connection between the
investigation and top Kazakh officials "insinuations and a
provocation."